Monetary policy statement and projections · Euro Area
Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections
The Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections is the European Central Bank's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
- اهمیت
- High
- ارز
- EUR · euro
- بانک مرکزی
- The European Central Bank
آخرین ارقام
هنوز نتیجه‌ای از این انتشار نمایش داده نشده است. به‌محض انتشار اینجا ظاهر می‌شوند.
چرا مهم است
The words and the forecasts tell markets where the deposit facility rate (with the main refinancing rate) is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the euro and bond yields more than the decision itself.
روش محاسبه
There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
- Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.
بالاتر از انتظار: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the euro and bond yields.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the euro and lower bond yields.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections?
The Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections is the European Central Bank's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.