Monetary policy statement and projections · United States
United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
The United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
- اهمیت
- High
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-09-16 منتشر شد و 4.1% بود. این بیشتر از 3.6% در دفعه قبل است.
در 7 انتشار اخیر بین 3.1% و 4.1% بود، با میانگین 3.5%. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | – | 4.1% | – | 3.6% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | – | 3.6% | – | 3.1% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | – | 3.1% | – | 3.4% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.4% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.6% |
| 18 Jun 2025 | – | 3.6% | – | 3.4% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.9% |
چرا مهم است
The words and the forecasts tell markets where the federal funds target range is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the US dollar and bond yields more than the decision itself.
روش محاسبه
There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
- Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.
بالاتر از انتظار: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the US dollar and bond yields.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the US dollar and lower bond yields.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr?
The United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
What was the latest United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr?
4.1%, published on 16 September 2026.
When is the next United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr?
On Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:00 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.