Monetary policy statement and projections · United States
United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
The United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
- Importancia
- High
- Publicado
- Quarterly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- USD · US dollar
- Banco central
- The Federal Reserve
Últimas cifras
El último dato se publicó el 2026-09-16 y fue 4.1%. Es más que 3.6% la vez anterior.
En las últimas 7 publicaciones osciló entre 3.1% y 4.1%, con una media de 3.5%. Ha subido tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | – | 4.1% | – | 3.6% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | – | 3.6% | – | 3.1% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | – | 3.1% | – | 3.4% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.4% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.6% |
| 18 Jun 2025 | – | 3.6% | – | 3.4% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.9% |
Por qué importa
The words and the forecasts tell markets where the federal funds target range is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the US dollar and bond yields more than the decision itself.
Cómo se calcula
There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.
Qué significan los cambios
- Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
- Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.
Mayor de lo esperado: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the US dollar and bond yields.
Menor de lo esperado: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the US dollar and lower bond yields.
Una breve historia
Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.
Preguntas
What is the United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr?
The United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
What was the latest United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr?
4.1%, published on 16 September 2026.
When is the next United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr?
On Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:00 UTC.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.