Core inflation · Euro Area

Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash

The Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash measures the rise in consumer prices in the Euro Area without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).

اهمیت
High
منتشرشده
Monthly
انتشار بعدی
ارز
EUR · euro
بانک مرکزی
The European Central Bank
اثر بر
EURAUD · EURCAD · EURCHF · EURDKK · EURGBP · EURHKD · EURHUF · EURJPY

آخرین ارقام

آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-11-04 منتشر شد و 2.5% بود. این مطابق اجماع 2.5% است. نسبت به 2.5% در دفعه قبل تغییری نکرده است.

نتیجه‌ای مطابق پیش‌بینی معمولاً واکنش کمی ایجاد می‌کند: قبلاً در قیمت لحاظ شده بود.

در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 2.2% و 2.5% بود، با میانگین 2.4%.

Dec 2025: 2.4%Jan 2026: 2.3%Feb 2026: 2.2%Mar 2026: 2.4%Mar 2026: 2.3%Apr 2026: 2.2%Jun 2026: 2.5%Jul 2026: 2.4%Jul 2026: 2.5%Sep 2026: 2.4%Oct 2026: 2.5%Nov 2026: 2.5% Dec 2025Nov 2026
نتایج واقعی؛ خط کوتاه روی هر ستون، اجماع را نشان می‌دهد.
منتشرشدهبرایواقعیپیش‌بینیقبلی
4 Nov 2026OCT2.5%2.5%2.5%
2 Oct 2026SEP2.5%2.5%2.4%
1 Sep 2026AUG2.4%2.5%2.5%
31 Jul 2026JUL2.5%2.4%2.4%
1 Jul 2026JUN2.4%2.6%2.6%
2 Jun 2026MAY2.5%2.4%2.2%
30 Apr 2026APR2.2%2.3%2.3%
31 Mar 2026MAR2.3%2.4%2.4%
3 Mar 2026FEB2.4%2.2%2.2%
4 Feb 2026JAN2.2%2.3%2.3%
7 Jan 2026DEC2.3%2.4%2.4%
2 Dec 2025NOV2.4%2.5%2.4%

در تقویم اقتصادی ببینید ←

چرا مهم است

Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the European Central Bank can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.

روش محاسبه

Eurostat takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.

Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1

تغییرات چه معنایی دارند

  • A core rate falling towards the target lets the European Central Bank ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
  • Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
  • Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.

بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the European Central Bank room to cut or hold rates lower: the euro tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه

Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.

پرسش‌ها

What is the Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash?

The Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash measures the rise in consumer prices in the Euro Area without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).

What was the latest Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash?

2.5% for OCT, published on 4 November 2026 (consensus 2.5%, previous 2.5%).

When is the next Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash?

On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 10:00 UTC.

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