Core inflation · Euro Area
Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash
The Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash measures the rise in consumer prices in the Euro Area without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
- Importance
- High
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- EUR · euro
- Banque centrale
- The European Central Bank
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour OCT, est parue le 2026-11-04 et s’est établie à 2.5%. C’est conforme au consensus de 2.5%. C’est inchangé par rapport à 2.5% la fois précédente.
Un résultat conforme au consensus provoque généralement peu de réaction : il était déjà intégré dans les prix.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 2.2% à 2.5%, avec une moyenne de 2.4%.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | OCT | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | SEP | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | AUG | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | JUL | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | JUN | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | MAY | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | APR | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | MAR | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | FEB | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | JAN | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| 7 Jan 2026 | DEC | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | NOV | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
Pourquoi c’est important
Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the European Central Bank can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.
Mode de calcul
Eurostat takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.
Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1Ce que signifient les variations
- A core rate falling towards the target lets the European Central Bank ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
- Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
- Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.
Supérieur aux attentes : A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Inférieur aux attentes : A lower figure than expected gives the European Central Bank room to cut or hold rates lower: the euro tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Un bref historique
Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.
Questions
What is the Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash?
The Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash measures the rise in consumer prices in the Euro Area without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
What was the latest Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash?
2.5% for OCT, published on 4 November 2026 (consensus 2.5%, previous 2.5%).
When is the next Euro Area Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.