Inflation rate (consumer prices) · Euro Area
Euro Area CPI Final
The Euro Area CPI Final measures how much the prices that households in the Euro Area pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
- Importance
- High
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- EUR · euro
- Banque centrale
- The European Central Bank
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour SEP, est parue le 2026-10-16 et s’est établie à 104.31. C’est au-dessus du consensus de 104.30. C’est plus que 103.69 la fois précédente.
A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 100.05 à 129.70, avec une moyenne de 109.31. Elle a augmenté trois publications d’affilée.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | SEP | 104.31 | 104.30 | 103.69 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | AUG | 103.69 | 103.70 | 103.24 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | JUL | 103.24 | 103.22 | 103.02 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | JUN | 103.02 | 103.07 | 103.13 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | MAY | 103.13 | 103.15 | 103.04 |
| 20 May 2026 | APR | 103.04 | 103.05 | 101.99 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | MAR | 101.99 | 101.96 | 100.71 |
| 18 Mar 2026 | FEB | 100.71 | 100.72 | 100.07 ® |
| 25 Feb 2026 | JAN | 100.05 | 100.08 | 100.63 |
| 19 Jan 2026 | DEC | 129.54 | 129.56 | 129.33 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | NOV | 129.3 | 129.35 | 129.7 |
| 19 Nov 2025 | OCT | 129.7 | 129.7 | 129.43 |
Pourquoi c’est important
Inflation is what the European Central Bank is charged with controlling, so this is one of the most market-moving releases of the month. A figure above expectations makes rate hikes (or a longer wait for cuts) more likely, which usually lifts the euro and bond yields; a soft figure does the reverse. It also drives wages, pensions and benefits that are linked to prices.
Mode de calcul
Eurostat collects many thousands of prices every month (food, rent, energy, transport, clothing, services) and weights them by how much households spend on each, from household surveys. The index compares the cost of the basket with a base year; the inflation rate is the change from the same month a year earlier.
CPI = Σ (price now ÷ base price) × weight × 100
Inflation (yoy) = CPI ÷ CPI 12 months ago − 1Ce que signifient les variations
- Above the central bank's target (usually 2%) and rising: pressure for higher rates.
- Look at the core rate and services prices to see if the move is broad or driven by energy and food.
- Base effects: a big jump a year ago drops out of the yearly rate and can make it fall even if prices keep rising.
- Markets react to the difference from the consensus, often to a single decimal.
Supérieur aux attentes : A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Inférieur aux attentes : A lower figure than expected gives the European Central Bank room to cut or hold rates lower: the euro tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Un bref historique
The United States began publishing a national consumer price index in 1919, the United Kingdom's index goes back to 1914. Inflation targeting, started by New Zealand in 1990, made this release the centre of monetary policy almost everywhere.
Questions
What is the Euro Area CPI Final?
The Euro Area CPI Final measures how much the prices that households in the Euro Area pay for a typical basket of goods and services have risen over the past year.
What was the latest Euro Area CPI Final?
104.31 for SEP, published on 16 October 2026 (consensus 104.30, previous 103.69).
When is the next Euro Area CPI Final?
On Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
What is a good inflation rate?
Most central banks, including the European Central Bank in many cases, aim for about 2% a year: low enough not to erode savings, high enough to avoid deflation.
Why does the Euro Area CPI Final move the euro?
Because it changes what traders expect the European Central Bank to do with the deposit facility rate (with the main refinancing rate), and interest rates decide what holding the currency pays.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.