Monetary policy statement and projections · Euro Area
Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections
The Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections is the European Central Bank's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
- 重要性
- High
- 货币
- EUR · euro
- 中央银行
- The European Central Bank
最新数据
暂未显示此项发布的结果。结果一经公布即会显示在此处。
为何重要
The words and the forecasts tell markets where the deposit facility rate (with the main refinancing rate) is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the euro and bond yields more than the decision itself.
计算方法
There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.
变化意味着什么
- Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
- Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.
高于预期：Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the euro and bond yields.
低于预期：Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the euro and lower bond yields.
简史
Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.
问题
What is the Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections?
The Euro Area ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections is the European Central Bank's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
仅供学习参考，不构成投资建议。数据为我们日历记录的已发布结果；所述市场反应为典型情况，并无保证。