Balance of trade · China
China Balance of Trade
The China Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that China sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-14 منتشر شد و $133.53B بود.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | SEP | $133.53B | $118.1B | $119.09B ® |
| 8 Sep 2026 | AUG | $119.1B | $119.1B | $112.5B |
| 7 Aug 2026 | JUL | $112.5B | $107.0B | $125.62B |
| 14 Jul 2026 | JUN | $125.62B | $121B | $105.43B |
| 9 Jun 2026 | MAY | $105.43B | $92.1B | $84.8B ® |
| 9 May 2026 | APR | $84.82B | $83.3B | $51.13B |
| 14 Apr 2026 | MAR | $51.13B | $112B | $90.98B |
| 10 Mar 2026 | JAN-FEB | $213.62B | $179.6B | $114.11B ® |
| 14 Jan 2026 | DEC | $114.1B | $113.6B | $111.68B |
| 8 Dec 2025 | NOV | $111.68B | $100.2B | $90.07B |
| 7 Nov 2025 | OCT | $90.07B | $95.6B | $90.45B |
| 13 Oct 2025 | SEP | $90.45B | $98.96B | $102.33B |
چرا مهم است
Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the Chinese yuan (renminbi); strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.
روش محاسبه
Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.
Trade balance = exports − importsتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
- Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).
بالاتر از انتظار: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.
پرسش‌ها
What is the China Balance of Trade?
The China Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that China sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
What was the latest China Balance of Trade?
$133.53B for SEP, published on 14 October 2026 (consensus $118.1B, previous $119.09B).
When is the next China Balance of Trade?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
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