Balance of trade · United States
United States Goods Trade Balance Adv
The United States Goods Trade Balance Adv shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-28 منتشر شد و $-134.9B بود.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | SEP | $-134.9B | $-130B | $-132.07B ® |
| 30 Sep 2026 | AUG | $-132.6B | $-115B | $-118.9B ® |
| 27 Aug 2026 | JUL | $-118.8B | $-99B | $-101.41B ® |
| 26 Jun 2026 | MAY | $-105.8B | $-85B | $-83.01B ® |
| 29 May 2026 | APR | $-82.4B | $-86.5B | $-85.3B ® |
| 29 Apr 2026 | MAR | $-87.87B | $-87B | $-83.5B |
| 25 Sep 2025 | AUG | $-85.5B | $-95.65B | $-102.8B ® |
| 29 Aug 2025 | JUL | $-103.6B | $-89.5B | $-84.85B |
| 29 Jul 2025 | JUN | $-85.99B | $-98.4B | $-96.42B ® |
| 26 Jun 2025 | MAY | $-96.59B | $-88.5B | $-86.97B ® |
| 30 May 2025 | APR | $-87.62B | $-141.5B | $-162.25B ® |
| 29 Apr 2025 | MAR | $-161.99B | $-146B | $-147.85B ® |
چرا مهم است
Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the US dollar; strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.
روش محاسبه
Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.
Trade balance = exports − importsتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
- Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).
بالاتر از انتظار: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the US dollar.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the US dollar.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States Goods Trade Balance Adv?
The United States Goods Trade Balance Adv shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
What was the latest United States Goods Trade Balance Adv?
$-134.9B for SEP, published on 28 October 2026 (consensus $-130B, previous $-132.07B).
When is the next United States Goods Trade Balance Adv?
On Friday 27 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
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