Balance of trade · Germany
Germany Exports MoM
The Germany Exports MoM shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that Germany sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- EUR · euro
- بانک مرکزی
- The European Central Bank (with the Bundesbank)
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای AUG، در 2026-10-08 منتشر شد و -0.8% بود. این پایین‌تر از اجماع 0.8% است. این کمتر از -0.5% در دفعه قبل است (بازنگری‌شده).
A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the euro.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین -2.5% و 4.0% بود، با میانگین 0.5%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | AUG | -0.8% | 0.8% | -0.5% ® |
| 8 Sep 2026 | JUL | -0.8% | 0% | 0.9% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | JUN | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% ® |
| 9 Jul 2026 | MAY | 0.9% | -0.3% | 0.8% ® |
| 9 Jun 2026 | APR | 0.9% | -0.3% | 0.3% ® |
| 8 May 2026 | MAR | 0.5% | -1.7% | 3.6% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | FEB | 3.6% | 1% | -1.5% ® |
| 10 Mar 2026 | JAN | -2.3% | -2% | 3.9% ® |
| 6 Feb 2026 | DEC | 4% | 1% | -2.5% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | NOV | -2.5% | 0% | 0.3% ® |
| 9 Dec 2025 | OCT | 0.1% | -0.2% | 1.5% ® |
| 7 Nov 2025 | SEP | 1.4% | 0.5% | -0.8% ® |
چرا مهم است
Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the euro; strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.
روش محاسبه
Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.
Trade balance = exports − importsتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
- Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).
بالاتر از انتظار: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the euro.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the euro.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Germany Exports MoM?
The Germany Exports MoM shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that Germany sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
What was the latest Germany Exports MoM?
-0.8% for AUG, published on 8 October 2026 (consensus 0.8%, previous -0.5%).
When is the next Germany Exports MoM?
On Monday 9 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.