Balance of trade · United States
United States Balance of Trade
The United States Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-11-04 منتشر شد و $-105B بود.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | SEP | $-105B | $-108B | $-105.7B ® |
| 6 Oct 2026 | AUG | $-105.6B | $-102B | $-92.8B ® |
| 3 Sep 2026 | JUL | $-88.6B | $-90B | $-71.2B ® |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JUN | $-73.3B | $-73.0B | $-77.6B |
| 7 Jul 2026 | MAY | $-77.6B | $-78.5B | $-54.6B ® |
| 9 Jun 2026 | APR | $-55.9B | $-56.1B | $-56.6B ® |
| 5 May 2026 | MAR | $-60.3B | $-60.9B | $-57.8B ® |
| 2 Apr 2026 | FEB | $-57.3B | $-59.2B | $-54.7B ® |
| 12 Mar 2026 | JAN | $-54.5B | $-66.6B | $-72.9B ® |
| 19 Feb 2026 | DEC | $-70.3B | $-55.5B | $-53B ® |
| 29 Jan 2026 | NOV | $-56.8B | $-40.5B | $-29.2B ® |
| 8 Jan 2026 | OCT | $-29.4B | $-58.9B | $-48.1B ® |
چرا مهم است
Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the US dollar; strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.
روش محاسبه
Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.
Trade balance = exports − importsتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
- Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).
بالاتر از انتظار: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the US dollar.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the US dollar.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States Balance of Trade?
The United States Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.
What was the latest United States Balance of Trade?
$-105B for SEP, published on 4 November 2026 (consensus $-108B, previous $-105.7B).
When is the next United States Balance of Trade?
On Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
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