Balance of trade · United States

United States Balance of Trade

The United States Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.

Importancia
Medium
Publicado
Monthly
Próxima publicación
Divisa
USD · US dollar
Banco central
The Federal Reserve
Mueve
AUDUSD · EURUSD · GAUUSD · GBPUSD · NZDUSD · USDCAD · USDCHF · USDCNH

Últimas cifras

El último dato, de SEP, se publicó el 2026-11-04 y fue $-105B.

PublicadoParaRealConsensoAnterior
4 Nov 2026SEP$-105B$-108B$-105.7B ®
6 Oct 2026AUG$-105.6B$-102B$-92.8B ®
3 Sep 2026JUL$-88.6B$-90B$-71.2B ®
4 Aug 2026JUN$-73.3B$-73.0B$-77.6B
7 Jul 2026MAY$-77.6B$-78.5B$-54.6B ®
9 Jun 2026APR$-55.9B$-56.1B$-56.6B ®
5 May 2026MAR$-60.3B$-60.9B$-57.8B ®
2 Apr 2026FEB$-57.3B$-59.2B$-54.7B ®
12 Mar 2026JAN$-54.5B$-66.6B$-72.9B ®
19 Feb 2026DEC$-70.3B$-55.5B$-53B ®
29 Jan 2026NOV$-56.8B$-40.5B$-29.2B ®
8 Jan 2026OCT$-29.4B$-58.9B$-48.1B ®

Verlo en el calendario económico →

Por qué importa

Exports are a big part of demand for open economies (Germany, China, Japan, Korea, the Netherlands). A larger surplus means more foreign demand for the US dollar; strong imports signal domestic demand. China's figures are read as a gauge of world demand.

Cómo se calcula

Customs records the value of goods crossing the border; services come from surveys. The balance is exports minus imports, usually seasonally adjusted.

Trade balance = exports − imports

Qué significan los cambios

  • Look at exports and imports separately: a wider surplus from collapsing imports is a sign of weak domestic demand, not strength.
  • Exchange-rate moves take months to affect trade volumes (the J-curve).

Mayor de lo esperado: A larger surplus (or smaller deficit) than expected tends to support the US dollar.

Menor de lo esperado: A smaller surplus (or larger deficit) than expected tends to weigh on the US dollar.

Una breve historia

Trade balances were the obsession of mercantilism in the 16th–18th centuries; David Hume's price-specie flow mechanism (1752) explained why surpluses tend to correct themselves.

Preguntas

What is the United States Balance of Trade?

The United States Balance of Trade shows the difference between the value of goods (and sometimes services) that the United States sells abroad and what it buys from abroad, or the growth of exports and imports.

What was the latest United States Balance of Trade?

$-105B for SEP, published on 4 November 2026 (consensus $-108B, previous $-105.7B).

When is the next United States Balance of Trade?

On Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.