Unemployment rate · China
China Unemployment Rate
The China Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labour force in China, people working or actively looking for work, who have no job but want one.
- اهمیت
- High
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- بانک مرکزی
- The People's Bank of China
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-19 منتشر شد و 5.2% بود. این پایین‌تر از اجماع 5.3% است. این کمتر از 5.3% در دفعه قبل است.
A lower unemployment rate than expected signals a tight labour market: it tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and push bond yields up.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 5.0% و 5.4% بود، با میانگین 5.2%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | SEP | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | AUG | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | JUL | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | 5% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | MAY | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 18 May 2026 | APRIL | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | MARCH | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | FEB | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | DEC | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | NOV | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | OCT | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | SEP | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
چرا مهم است
Full employment is part of most central banks' mandate. A falling unemployment rate means a tighter labour market, faster wage growth and more inflation pressure, which can keep the People's Bank of China hawkish; a rising rate is one of the clearest recession signals (the US "Sahm rule" flags a 0.5-point rise in the three-month average).
روش محاسبه
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) usually runs a household survey: people are counted as unemployed if they had no work, were available and looked for a job recently. The rate is unemployed ÷ (employed + unemployed). Registered jobless and claimant counts instead count people signed on for benefits. Participation is the labour force ÷ working-age population.
Unemployment rate = unemployed ÷ labour force × 100
Labour force = employed + unemployedتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- A lower rate than expected usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
- Check participation: unemployment can fall because people stop looking, which is not good news.
- Broader measures (US U-6) include part-timers who want more hours.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher unemployment rate than expected points to a weakening labour market: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften as markets price in lower rates.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower unemployment rate than expected signals a tight labour market: it tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and push bond yields up.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Systematic unemployment statistics began in the 1930s Depression; the International Labour Organization's definition, adopted in 1982, is used by most countries today.
پرسش‌ها
What is the China Unemployment Rate?
The China Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labour force in China, people working or actively looking for work, who have no job but want one.
What was the latest China Unemployment Rate?
5.2% for SEP, published on 19 October 2026 (consensus 5.3%, previous 5.3%).
When is the next China Unemployment Rate?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
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