Unemployment rate · China
China Unemployment Rate
The China Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labour force in China, people working or actively looking for work, who have no job but want one.
- Важность
- High
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
- Центральный банк
- The People's Bank of China
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-19; значение: 5.2%. Это ниже консенсус-прогноза 5.3%. Это ниже, чем 5.3% в прошлый раз.
A lower unemployment rate than expected signals a tight labour market: it tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and push bond yields up.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 5.0% до 5.4%, в среднем 5.2%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | SEP | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | AUG | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | JUL | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5% |
| 15 Jul 2026 | JUN | 5% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | MAY | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 18 May 2026 | APRIL | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | MARCH | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | FEB | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | DEC | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | NOV | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | OCT | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | SEP | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
Почему это важно
Full employment is part of most central banks' mandate. A falling unemployment rate means a tighter labour market, faster wage growth and more inflation pressure, which can keep the People's Bank of China hawkish; a rising rate is one of the clearest recession signals (the US "Sahm rule" flags a 0.5-point rise in the three-month average).
Как считается
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) usually runs a household survey: people are counted as unemployed if they had no work, were available and looked for a job recently. The rate is unemployed ÷ (employed + unemployed). Registered jobless and claimant counts instead count people signed on for benefits. Participation is the labour force ÷ working-age population.
Unemployment rate = unemployed ÷ labour force × 100
Labour force = employed + unemployedЧто означают изменения
- A lower rate than expected usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi).
- Check participation: unemployment can fall because people stop looking, which is not good news.
- Broader measures (US U-6) include part-timers who want more hours.
Выше ожиданий: A higher unemployment rate than expected points to a weakening labour market: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften as markets price in lower rates.
Ниже ожиданий: A lower unemployment rate than expected signals a tight labour market: it tends to support the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and push bond yields up.
Краткая история
Systematic unemployment statistics began in the 1930s Depression; the International Labour Organization's definition, adopted in 1982, is used by most countries today.
Вопросы
What is the China Unemployment Rate?
The China Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labour force in China, people working or actively looking for work, who have no job but want one.
What was the latest China Unemployment Rate?
5.2% for SEP, published on 19 October 2026 (consensus 5.3%, previous 5.3%).
When is the next China Unemployment Rate?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.