United Kingdom Claimant Count Change

Последние данные

Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-20; значение: 30.3K. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 19.4K. Это выше, чем 7K в прошлый раз (пересмотрено).

A higher unemployment rate than expected points to a weakening labour market: the pound sterling tends to soften as markets price in lower rates.

За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от -11.0K до 31.2K, в среднем 21.6K. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.

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Почему это важно

Full employment is part of most central banks' mandate. A falling unemployment rate means a tighter labour market, faster wage growth and more inflation pressure, which can keep the Bank of England hawkish; a rising rate is one of the clearest recession signals (the US "Sahm rule" flags a 0.5-point rise in the three-month average).

Как считается

the Office for National Statistics (ONS) usually runs a household survey: people are counted as unemployed if they had no work, were available and looked for a job recently. The rate is unemployed ÷ (employed + unemployed). Registered jobless and claimant counts instead count people signed on for benefits. Participation is the labour force ÷ working-age population.

Unemployment rate = unemployed ÷ labour force × 100
Labour force = employed + unemployed

Что означают изменения

• A lower rate than expected usually supports the pound sterling.
• Check participation: unemployment can fall because people stop looking, which is not good news.
• Broader measures (US U-6) include part-timers who want more hours.

Краткая история

Systematic unemployment statistics began in the 1930s Depression; the International Labour Organization's definition, adopted in 1982, is used by most countries today.

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