Government bond yield · United States
United States 10-Year Note Auction
The United States 10-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация вышла 2026-10-07; значение: 5.300%. Это выше, чем 4.834% в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 4.074% до 5.300%, в среднем 4.458%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | – | 5.300% | – | 4.834% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | – | 4.834% | – | 4.683% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | – | 4.683% | – | 4.580% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | – | 4.580% | – | 4.538% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | – | 4.538% | – | 4.468% |
| 12 May 2026 | – | 4.468% | – | 4.282% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | – | 4.282% | – | 4.217% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | – | 4.217% | – | 4.177% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | – | 4.177% | – | 4.173% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | – | 4.173% | – | 4.175% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | – | 4.175% | – | 4.074% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | – | 4.074% | – | 4.117% |
Почему это важно
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
Как считается
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationЧто означают изменения
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
Краткая история
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
Вопросы
What is the United States 10-Year Note Auction?
The United States 10-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 10-Year Note Auction?
5.300%, published on 7 October 2026.
When is the next United States 10-Year Note Auction?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.