Government bond yield · United States
United States 10-Year Note Auction
The United States 10-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- الأهمية
- Medium
- صدر
- Monthly
- الإصدار التالي
- العملة
- USD · US dollar
- البنك المركزي
- The Federal Reserve
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار في 2026-10-07 وجاء عند 5.300%. هذا أعلى من 4.834% في المرة السابقة.
خلال آخر 12 إصدارات تراوح بين 4.074% و5.300%، بمتوسط 4.458%. ظل يرتفع لثلاثة إصدارات متتالية.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | – | 5.300% | – | 4.834% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | – | 4.834% | – | 4.683% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | – | 4.683% | – | 4.580% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | – | 4.580% | – | 4.538% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | – | 4.538% | – | 4.468% |
| 12 May 2026 | – | 4.468% | – | 4.282% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | – | 4.282% | – | 4.217% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | – | 4.217% | – | 4.177% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | – | 4.177% | – | 4.173% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | – | 4.173% | – | 4.175% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | – | 4.175% | – | 4.074% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | – | 4.074% | – | 4.117% |
لماذا يهم
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
طريقة الحساب
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationما تعنيه التغيرات
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
الأسئلة
What is the United States 10-Year Note Auction?
The United States 10-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 10-Year Note Auction?
5.300%, published on 7 October 2026.
When is the next United States 10-Year Note Auction?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
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