Government bond yield · United States
United States 10-Year Note Auction
The United States 10-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار در 2026-10-07 منتشر شد و 5.300% بود. این بیشتر از 4.834% در دفعه قبل است.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 4.074% و 5.300% بود، با میانگین 4.458%. سه انتشار پیاپی افزایش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | – | 5.300% | – | 4.834% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | – | 4.834% | – | 4.683% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | – | 4.683% | – | 4.580% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | – | 4.580% | – | 4.538% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | – | 4.538% | – | 4.468% |
| 12 May 2026 | – | 4.468% | – | 4.282% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | – | 4.282% | – | 4.217% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | – | 4.217% | – | 4.177% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | – | 4.177% | – | 4.173% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | – | 4.173% | – | 4.175% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | – | 4.175% | – | 4.074% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | – | 4.074% | – | 4.117% |
چرا مهم است
Government yields are the base of every other interest rate. Short maturities follow the Federal Reserve's policy rate closely; long ones reflect expected growth, inflation and the risk of holding long debt. Higher yields relative to other countries attract capital and support the US dollar; the gap between long and short yields (the yield curve) is a classic recession signal when it turns negative.
روش محاسبه
The yield is the interest rate that makes the present value of the bond's coupons and repayment equal to its price; on a calendar it often reports the average yield at a government auction.
Price = Σ coupon ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ + face ÷ (1 + y)ᵀ
Inflation-linked (TIPS) yield ≈ nominal yield − expected inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Yields rise when prices of bonds fall: strong data and hawkish central banks push yields up.
- An inverted curve (2-year above 10-year) has preceded most US recessions, with a lag of a year or more.
- Inflation-linked yields show the real (after-inflation) return.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Government bond markets go back to the Dutch and English debt of the 17th century; the US Treasury yield curve has been watched as a recession signal since research by Campbell Harvey in the 1980s.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States 10-Year Note Auction?
The United States 10-Year Note Auction is the yield on the United States's government debt of that maturity: the annual return an investor earns by buying the bond or bill at today's price and holding it to maturity.
What was the latest United States 10-Year Note Auction?
5.300%, published on 7 October 2026.
When is the next United States 10-Year Note Auction?
On Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.