Monetary policy statement and projections · Brazil
Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report
The Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report is the Banco Central do Brasil's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
- Importance
- Medium
- Currency
- BRL · Brazilian real
- Central bank
- The Banco Central do Brasil
Latest figures
No results of this release are shown yet. They appear here as soon as they are published.
Why it matters
The words and the forecasts tell markets where the Selic rate is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the Brazilian real and bond yields more than the decision itself.
How it is calculated
There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.
What changes mean
- Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
- Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.
Higher than expected: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the Brazilian real and bond yields.
Lower than expected: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the Brazilian real and lower bond yields.
A short history
Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.
Questions
What is the Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report?
The Brazil BCB Monetary Policy Report is the Banco Central do Brasil's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.