Leading and composite indicators · South Africa
South Africa SACCI Business Confidence
The South Africa SACCI Business Confidence combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Важность
- Low
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- ZAR · South African rand
- Центральный банк
- The South African Reserve Bank
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-19; значение: 134.3. Это ниже, чем 135.1 в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 123.5 до 135.1, в среднем 129.4.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | SEP | 134.3 | – | 135.1 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | AUG | 135.1 | – | 123.5 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | JUL | 125.4 | – | 123.5 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | JUN | 123.5 | – | 124.1 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | MAY | 124.1 | – | 123.6 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | APR | 123.6 | – | 131.3 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | MAR | 131.3 | – | 134.6 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | FEB | 134.6 | – | 133.2 |
| 18 Feb 2026 | JAN | 131.4 | – | 133.2 |
| 18 Feb 2026 | DEC | 133.2 | – | 132.3 |
| 11 Dec 2025 | OCT | 123.8 | – | 121.1 |
| 11 Dec 2025 | NOV | 132.3 | – | 121.1 |
Почему это важно
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
Как считается
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Что означают изменения
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Вопросы
What is the South Africa SACCI Business Confidence?
The South Africa SACCI Business Confidence combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest South Africa SACCI Business Confidence?
134.3 for SEP, published on 19 October 2026.
When is the next South Africa SACCI Business Confidence?
On Friday 11 December 2026.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.