Leading and composite indicators · Japan
Japan Leading Economic Index Final
The Japan Leading Economic Index Final combines several economic series for Japan into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- JPY · Japanese yen
- Центральный банк
- The Bank of Japan
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за AUG, вышла 2026-10-26; значение: 118.0. Это соответствует консенсус-прогнозу 118.0. Это выше, чем 117.6 в прошлый раз.
Результат в рамках консенсуса обычно вызывает слабую реакцию: он уже заложен в цену.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 107.0 до 118.0, в среднем 112.8. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | AUG | 118.0 | 118.0 | 117.6 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | JUL | 117.7 | 117.9 | 116.2 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | JUN | 116.5 | 116.4 | 116.5 ® |
| 25 Jun 2026 | APR | 116.1 | 115.9 | 115.4 |
| 26 May 2026 | MAR | 114.0 | 114.5 | 113.2 |
| 27 Apr 2026 | FEB | 113.3 | 112.4 | 112.0 ® |
| 25 Mar 2026 | JAN | 112.1 | 112.4 | 110.4 ® |
| 26 Feb 2026 | DEC | 111 | 110.2 | 109.9 |
| 26 Jan 2026 | NOV | 109.9 | 110.5 | 109.8 |
| 24 Dec 2025 | OCT | 109.8 | 110.0 | 108.2 |
| 26 Nov 2025 | SEP | 108.6 | 108.0 | 107.0 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | AUG | 107.0 | 107.4 | 106.1 |
Почему это важно
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
Как считается
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Что означают изменения
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Japanese yen and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Вопросы
What is the Japan Leading Economic Index Final?
The Japan Leading Economic Index Final combines several economic series for Japan into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest Japan Leading Economic Index Final?
118.0 for AUG, published on 26 October 2026 (consensus 118.0, previous 117.6).
When is the next Japan Leading Economic Index Final?
On Thursday 26 November 2026 at 05:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.