Monetary policy statement and projections · Japan

Japan BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report

The Japan BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report is the Bank of Japan's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

Важность
High
Следующая публикация
Валюта
JPY · Japanese yen
Центральный банк
The Bank of Japan
Влияет на
AUDJPY · CADJPY · CHFJPY · EURJPY · GBPJPY · NZDJPY · SGDJPY · USDJPY

Последние данные

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Почему это важно

The words and the forecasts tell markets where the short-term policy rate is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the Japanese yen and bond yields more than the decision itself.

Как считается

There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.

Что означают изменения

  • Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
  • Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.

Выше ожиданий: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the Japanese yen and bond yields.

Ниже ожиданий: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the Japanese yen and lower bond yields.

Краткая история

Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.

Вопросы

What is the Japan BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report?

The Japan BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report is the Bank of Japan's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

When is the next Japan BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report?

On Friday 22 January 2027 at 03:00 UTC.

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