Monetary policy statement and projections · Euro Area

Euro Area ECB Monetary Policy Statement

The Euro Area ECB Monetary Policy Statement is the European Central Bank's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

Важность
High
Следующая публикация
Валюта
EUR · euro
Центральный банк
The European Central Bank
Влияет на
EURAUD · EURCAD · EURCHF · EURDKK · EURGBP · EURHKD · EURHUF · EURJPY

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Почему это важно

The words and the forecasts tell markets where the deposit facility rate (with the main refinancing rate) is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the euro and bond yields more than the decision itself.

Как считается

There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.

Что означают изменения

  • Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
  • Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.

Выше ожиданий: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the euro and bond yields.

Ниже ожиданий: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the euro and lower bond yields.

Краткая история

Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.

Вопросы

What is the Euro Area ECB Monetary Policy Statement?

The Euro Area ECB Monetary Policy Statement is the European Central Bank's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.

When is the next Euro Area ECB Monetary Policy Statement?

On Thursday 17 December 2026 at 13:15 UTC.

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