Monetary policy statement and projections · United States
United States Interest Rate Projection - Current
The United States Interest Rate Projection - Current is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
- Важность
- High
- Опубликовано
- Quarterly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- USD · US dollar
- Центральный банк
- The Federal Reserve
Последние данные
Последняя публикация вышла 2026-09-16; значение: 4.1%. Это выше, чем 3.8% в прошлый раз.
За последние 7 публикаций значение колебалось от 3.4% до 4.1%, в среднем 3.8%. Показатель рос три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | – | 4.1% | – | 3.8% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | – | 3.8% | – | 3.4% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | – | 3.4% | – | 3.6% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | – | 3.6% | – | 3.6% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | – | 3.6% | – | 3.9% |
| 18 Jun 2025 | – | 3.9% | – | 3.9% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | – | 3.9% | – | 4.4% |
Почему это важно
The words and the forecasts tell markets where the federal funds target range is likely to go next. A central bank that raises its inflation forecasts or signals more hikes (the Fed's "dot plot" of rate projections, for example) can move the US dollar and bond yields more than the decision itself.
Как считается
There is no single figure; the report contains the committee's projections (often the median of its members' views) and its assessment of the economy.
Что означают изменения
- Compare the new projections with the previous ones: the revision is the news.
- Changes of a few words in the statement are often deliberate signals.
Выше ожиданий: Higher inflation or rate projections than expected tend to lift the US dollar and bond yields.
Ниже ожиданий: Lower projections than expected tend to weaken the US dollar and lower bond yields.
Краткая история
Central banks began to publish forecasts and statements as part of inflation targeting from the 1990s (the Bank of England's Inflation Report from 1993); the Fed's dot plot started in 2012.
Вопросы
What is the United States Interest Rate Projection - Current?
The United States Interest Rate Projection - Current is the Federal Reserve's statement or report explaining its policy decision, often with its own forecasts for growth, inflation and interest rates.
What was the latest United States Interest Rate Projection - Current?
4.1%, published on 16 September 2026.
When is the next United States Interest Rate Projection - Current?
On Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.