Core inflation · South Africa
South Africa Core Inflation Rate YoY
The South Africa Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in South Africa without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- ZAR · South African rand
- Центральный банк
- The South African Reserve Bank
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за SEP, вышла 2026-10-21; значение: 4%. Это ниже, чем 4.1% в прошлый раз.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 3% до 4.2%, в среднем 3.5%. Показатель снижался три публикации подряд.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | SEP | 4% | – | 4.1% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | AUG | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | JUL | 4.2% | – | 4.1% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | MAY | 3.8% | – | 3.6% |
| 20 May 2026 | APR | 3.6% | – | 3.2% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | MAR | 3.2% | – | 3% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | FEB | 3% | – | 3.4% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | JAN | 3.4% | – | 3.3% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | DEC | 3.3% | – | 3.2% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | NOV | 3.2% | – | 3.1% |
| 19 Nov 2025 | OCT | 3.1% | – | 3.2% |
| 22 Oct 2025 | SEP | 3.2% | – | 3.1% |
Почему это важно
Food and energy prices jump with harvests and oil, then fall back. The core rate shows the underlying trend that the South African Reserve Bank can actually influence, so it often moves markets more than the headline. Services inflation, driven by wages, is the stickiest part.
Как считается
Statistics South Africa takes the consumer price index basket, removes the excluded items and re-weights the rest; the change is measured month on month and against the same month a year earlier.
Core inflation (yoy) = core index ÷ core index 12 months ago − 1Что означают изменения
- A core rate falling towards the target lets the South African Reserve Bank ease; a stubborn core keeps rates high.
- Monthly core changes of 0.2% compound to about 2.4% a year; 0.3% to about 3.7%.
- Markets compare the figure with the consensus to one decimal; a 0.1-point surprise moves currencies.
Выше ожиданий: A higher figure than expected makes the South African Reserve Bank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the South African rand and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Ниже ожиданий: A lower figure than expected gives the South African Reserve Bank room to cut or hold rates lower: the South African rand tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Краткая история
Economists Robert Gordon and others popularised excluding food and energy in the 1970s, when oil shocks made the headline rate misleading; most central banks now publish or watch a core measure.
Вопросы
What is the South Africa Core Inflation Rate YoY?
The South Africa Core Inflation Rate YoY measures the rise in consumer prices in South Africa without the most volatile items, usually food and energy (definitions vary by country).
What was the latest South Africa Core Inflation Rate YoY?
4% for SEP, published on 21 October 2026.
When is the next South Africa Core Inflation Rate YoY?
On Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 08:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.