Retail sales · South Africa
South Africa Retail Sales YoY
The South Africa Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in South Africa.
- Важность
- Medium
- Опубликовано
- Monthly
- Следующая публикация
- Валюта
- ZAR · South African rand
- Центральный банк
- The South African Reserve Bank
Последние данные
Последняя публикация, за AUG, вышла 2026-10-21; значение: 3.3%. Это выше консенсус-прогноза 3%. Это ниже, чем 3.4% в прошлый раз.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
За последние 12 публикаций значение колебалось от 1.3% до 4.2%, в среднем 2.7%.
| Опубликовано | Для | Факт | Консенсус | Предыдущее |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | AUG | 3.3% | 3% | 3.4% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | JUL | 3.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% ® |
| 19 Aug 2026 | JUN | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% ® |
| 17 Jun 2026 | APR | 1.3% | – | 2.5% ® |
| 20 May 2026 | MAR | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | FEB | 1.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% ® |
| 18 Mar 2026 | JAN | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% ® |
| 18 Feb 2026 | DEC | 2.6% | – | 3.6% ® |
| 21 Jan 2026 | NOV | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3% ® |
| 10 Dec 2025 | OCT | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3% ® |
| 19 Nov 2025 | SEP | 3.1% | 3% | 2.2% ® |
| 15 Oct 2025 | AUG | 2.3% | – | 5.7% ® |
Почему это важно
Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the South African rand; weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.
Как считается
Statistics South Africa surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.
Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1Что означают изменения
- Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
- Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
- Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.
Выше ожиданий: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Ниже ожиданий: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Краткая история
The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.
Вопросы
What is the South Africa Retail Sales YoY?
The South Africa Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in South Africa.
What was the latest South Africa Retail Sales YoY?
3.3% for AUG, published on 21 October 2026 (consensus 3%, previous 3.4%).
When is the next South Africa Retail Sales YoY?
On Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 11:00 UTC.
Только образовательный материал, не инвестиционная рекомендация. Цифры — опубликованные результаты в том виде, в каком их записал наш календарь; описанные реакции рынка типичны, но не гарантированы.