Leading and composite indicators · South Africa
South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM
The South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- महत्व
- Low
- जारी
- Monthly
- अगली रिलीज़
- मुद्रा
- ZAR · South African rand
- केंद्रीय बैंक
- The South African Reserve Bank
नवीनतम आँकड़े
नवीनतम रिलीज़, AUG के लिए, 2026-10-27 को प्रकाशित हुई और 1.1% रही। यह पिछली बार के -0.8% से अधिक है (संशोधित)।
पिछली 12 रिलीज़ में यह -1.8% से 2.4% के बीच रहा, औसत 0.1%। यह लगातार तीन रिलीज़ से बढ़ रहा है।
| जारी | अवधि | वास्तविक | अनुमान | पिछला |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | AUG | 1.1% | – | -0.8% ® |
| 22 Sep 2026 | JUL | -0.9% | – | -1% ® |
| 25 Aug 2026 | JUN | -1.4% | – | -0.3% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | APR | -1.8% | – | 1.5% ® |
| 26 May 2026 | MAR | 2.4% | – | 0.6% ® |
| 28 Apr 2026 | FEB | 0.5% | – | 0.6% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | JAN | 0.4% | – | -0.4% ® |
| 24 Feb 2026 | DEC | -1.0% | – | 1.4% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | NOV | 1.4% | – | 0.4% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | OCT | 0.4% | – | -1.2% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | SEP | -1.2% | – | 1.6% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | AUG | 1.6% | – | 0.9% |
यह क्यों मायने रखता है
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
गणना कैसे होती है
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
बदलावों का अर्थ
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
उम्मीद से ज़्यादा: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
उम्मीद से कम: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
संक्षिप्त इतिहास
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
प्रश्न
What is the South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
The South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
1.1% for AUG, published on 27 October 2026.
When is the next South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
On Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
केवल शैक्षिक सामग्री, निवेश सलाह नहीं। आँकड़े हमारे कैलेंडर में दर्ज प्रकाशित नतीजे हैं; बताई गई बाज़ार प्रतिक्रियाएँ सामान्य हैं, गारंटीशुदा नहीं।