Leading and composite indicators · South Africa
South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM
The South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Wichtigkeit
- Low
- Veröffentlicht
- Monthly
- Nächste Veröffentlichung
- Währung
- ZAR · South African rand
- Zentralbank
- The South African Reserve Bank
Neueste Zahlen
Die letzte Veröffentlichung, für AUG, erschien am 2026-10-27 und lag bei 1.1%. Das ist mehr als -0.8% beim letzten Mal (revidiert).
In den letzten 12 Veröffentlichungen lag der Wert zwischen -1.8% und 2.4%, im Schnitt 0.1%. Der Wert ist drei Veröffentlichungen in Folge gestiegen.
| Veröffentlicht | Für | Ist | Konsens | Vorher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | AUG | 1.1% | – | -0.8% ® |
| 22 Sep 2026 | JUL | -0.9% | – | -1% ® |
| 25 Aug 2026 | JUN | -1.4% | – | -0.3% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | APR | -1.8% | – | 1.5% ® |
| 26 May 2026 | MAR | 2.4% | – | 0.6% ® |
| 28 Apr 2026 | FEB | 0.5% | – | 0.6% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | JAN | 0.4% | – | -0.4% ® |
| 24 Feb 2026 | DEC | -1.0% | – | 1.4% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | NOV | 1.4% | – | 0.4% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | OCT | 0.4% | – | -1.2% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | SEP | -1.2% | – | 1.6% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | AUG | 1.6% | – | 0.9% |
Warum es wichtig ist
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
So wird gerechnet
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Was Veränderungen bedeuten
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Höher als erwartet: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Niedriger als erwartet: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Eine kurze Geschichte
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Fragen
What is the South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
The South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
1.1% for AUG, published on 27 October 2026.
When is the next South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
On Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
Nur Bildungsinhalte, keine Anlageberatung. Die Zahlen sind die veröffentlichten Ergebnisse, wie sie unser Kalender erfasst hat; die beschriebenen Marktreaktionen sind typisch, nicht garantiert.