Leading and composite indicators · United States
United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
The United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index combines several economic series for the United States into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Wichtigkeit
- Medium
- Veröffentlicht
- Monthly
- Nächste Veröffentlichung
- Währung
- USD · US dollar
- Zentralbank
- The Federal Reserve
Neueste Zahlen
Die letzte Veröffentlichung, für NOV, erschien am 2026-11-03 und lag bei 48.5. Das liegt über dem Konsens von 46.2. Das ist mehr als 46.8 beim letzten Mal.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
In den letzten 12 Veröffentlichungen lag der Wert zwischen 42.5 und 48.8, im Schnitt 45.9. Der Wert ist drei Veröffentlichungen in Folge gestiegen.
| Veröffentlicht | Für | Ist | Konsens | Vorher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | NOV | 48.5 | 46.2 | 46.8 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | OCT | 46.8 | 44.5 | 45.6 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | SEP | 45.6 | 46.2 | 45.1 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | AUG | 45.1 | 47.5 | 45.5 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | JUL | 45.5 | 45 | 42.5 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | JUN | 42.5 | 44.5 | 42.6 |
| 5 May 2026 | MAY | 42.6 | 42 | 42.8 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | APR | 42.8 | 48.1 | 47.5 |
| 3 Mar 2026 | MAR | 47.5 | 50.1 | 48.8 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | FEB | 48.8 | 47.9 | 47.2 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | JAN | 47.2 | 48.2 | 47.9 |
| 2 Dec 2025 | DEC | 47.9 | 44.1 | 43.9 |
Warum es wichtig ist
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
So wird gerechnet
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Was Veränderungen bedeuten
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Höher als erwartet: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Niedriger als erwartet: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Eine kurze Geschichte
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Fragen
What is the United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index?
The United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index combines several economic series for the United States into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index?
48.5 for NOV, published on 3 November 2026 (consensus 46.2, previous 46.8).
When is the next United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
Nur Bildungsinhalte, keine Anlageberatung. Die Zahlen sind die veröffentlichten Ergebnisse, wie sie unser Kalender erfasst hat; die beschriebenen Marktreaktionen sind typisch, nicht garantiert.