Leading and composite indicators · United States
United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
The United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index combines several economic series for the United States into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Importancia
- Medium
- Publicado
- Monthly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- USD · US dollar
- Banco central
- The Federal Reserve
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de NOV, se publicó el 2026-11-03 y fue 48.5. Está por encima del consenso de 46.2. Es más que 46.8 la vez anterior.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
En las últimas 12 publicaciones osciló entre 42.5 y 48.8, con una media de 45.9. Ha subido tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | NOV | 48.5 | 46.2 | 46.8 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | OCT | 46.8 | 44.5 | 45.6 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | SEP | 45.6 | 46.2 | 45.1 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | AUG | 45.1 | 47.5 | 45.5 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | JUL | 45.5 | 45 | 42.5 |
| 2 Jun 2026 | JUN | 42.5 | 44.5 | 42.6 |
| 5 May 2026 | MAY | 42.6 | 42 | 42.8 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | APR | 42.8 | 48.1 | 47.5 |
| 3 Mar 2026 | MAR | 47.5 | 50.1 | 48.8 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | FEB | 48.8 | 47.9 | 47.2 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | JAN | 47.2 | 48.2 | 47.9 |
| 2 Dec 2025 | DEC | 47.9 | 44.1 | 43.9 |
Por qué importa
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
Cómo se calcula
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Qué significan los cambios
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Mayor de lo esperado: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Menor de lo esperado: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Una breve historia
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Preguntas
What is the United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index?
The United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index combines several economic series for the United States into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index?
48.5 for NOV, published on 3 November 2026 (consensus 46.2, previous 46.8).
When is the next United States RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.