Leading and composite indicators · Brazil
Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity
The Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity combines several economic series for Brazil into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Importancia
- Low
- Publicado
- Monthly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- BRL · Brazilian real
- Banco central
- The Banco Central do Brasil
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de AUG, se publicó el 2026-10-16 y fue 0.3%. Está en línea con el consenso de 0.3%. Es más que -0.2% la vez anterior.
Un resultado en línea con el consenso suele provocar poca reacción: ya estaba descontado.
En las últimas 12 publicaciones osciló entre -0.7% y 0.8%, con una media de 0.1%. Ha subido tres publicaciones seguidas.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | AUG | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.2% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | JUL | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | JUN | -0.6% | -0.5% | 0.1% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | MAY | 0.1% | 0% | 0.5% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | APR | 0.5% | 0.6% | -0.7% |
| 18 May 2026 | MAR | -0.7% | -0.2% | 0.6% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | FEB | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | JAN | 0.8% | 0.85% | -0.2% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | DEC | -0.2% | -0.5% | 0.7% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | NOV | 0.7% | 0.3% | -0.1% ® |
| 15 Dec 2025 | OCT | -0.2% | 0.1% | -0.2% |
| 17 Nov 2025 | SEP | -0.2% | -0.1% | 0.4% |
Por qué importa
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
Cómo se calcula
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Qué significan los cambios
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Mayor de lo esperado: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Brazilian real and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Menor de lo esperado: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Brazilian real tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Una breve historia
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Preguntas
What is the Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity?
The Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity combines several economic series for Brazil into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity?
0.3% for AUG, published on 16 October 2026 (consensus 0.3%, previous -0.2%).
When is the next Brazil IBC-BR Economic Activity?
On Monday 16 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.