Leading and composite indicators · France
France Business Climate Indicator
The France Business Climate Indicator combines several economic series for France into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- Wichtigkeit
- Medium
- Veröffentlicht
- Monthly
- Nächste Veröffentlichung
- Währung
- EUR · euro
- Zentralbank
- The European Central Bank (with the Banque de France)
Neueste Zahlen
Die letzte Veröffentlichung, für OCT, erschien am 2026-10-22 und lag bei 97. Das liegt über dem Konsens von 96. Das ist mehr als 96 beim letzten Mal.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
In den letzten 12 Veröffentlichungen lag der Wert zwischen 94 und 99, im Schnitt 97.
| Veröffentlicht | Für | Ist | Konsens | Vorher |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | OCT | 97 | 96 | 96 |
| 24 Sep 2026 | SEP | 96 | 98 | 98 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | AUG | 98 | 98 | 97 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | JUN | 94 | 95 | 93 ® |
| 22 May 2026 | MAY | 94 | 94 | 94 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | APR | 94 | 96 | 97 |
| 26 Mar 2026 | MAR | 97 | – | 97 |
| 24 Feb 2026 | FEB | 97 | – | 99 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | JAN | 99 | – | 99 |
| 18 Dec 2025 | DEC | 99 | – | 98 |
| 21 Nov 2025 | NOV | 98 | – | 97 |
| 23 Oct 2025 | OCT | 97 | – | 96 |
Warum es wichtig ist
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
So wird gerechnet
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
Was Veränderungen bedeuten
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
Höher als erwartet: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Niedriger als erwartet: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the euro tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Eine kurze Geschichte
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
Fragen
What is the France Business Climate Indicator?
The France Business Climate Indicator combines several economic series for France into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest France Business Climate Indicator?
97 for OCT, published on 22 October 2026 (consensus 96, previous 96).
When is the next France Business Climate Indicator?
On Friday 20 November 2026 at 07:45 UTC.
Nur Bildungsinhalte, keine Anlageberatung. Die Zahlen sind die veröffentlichten Ergebnisse, wie sie unser Kalender erfasst hat; die beschriebenen Marktreaktionen sind typisch, nicht garantiert.