France Business Climate Indicator

最新数据

最新一期（OCT）于 2026-10-22 公布，数值为 97。 高于 96 的市场预期。 高于上次的 96。

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the euro and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

最近 12 次公布中介于 94 至 99，平均 97。

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为何重要

No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.

计算方法

Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.

变化意味着什么

• Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
• Markets usually react little because most components are already known.

简史

Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.

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