Leading and composite indicators · United States
United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index
The United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index combines several economic series for the United States into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- 重要性
- Medium
- 发布时间
- Monthly
- 下次发布
- 货币
- USD · US dollar
- 中央银行
- The Federal Reserve
最新数据
最新一期（SEP）于 2026-10-26 公布，数值为 0.07。 高于上次的 -0.08（已修正）。
最近 12 次公布中介于 -0.42 至 0.18，平均 -0.09。 已连续三次公布上升。
| 发布时间 | 期限 | 实际值 | 预期值 | 前值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | SEP | 0.07 | – | -0.08 ® |
| 21 Sep 2026 | AUG | -0.04 | – | 0.08 ® |
| 24 Aug 2026 | JUL | -0.08 | – | 0.06 ® |
| 25 Jun 2026 | MAY | -0.10 | – | 0.19 ® |
| 26 May 2026 | APR | 0.14 | – | -0.15 ® |
| 23 Apr 2026 | MAR | -0.20 | – | 0.03 ® |
| 23 Mar 2026 | FEB | -0.11 | – | 0.20 ® |
| 23 Feb 2026 | DEC | -0.21 | – | -0.15 ® |
| 23 Feb 2026 | JAN | 0.18 | – | -0.21 |
| 26 Jan 2026 | OCT | -0.42 | – | -0.24 ® |
| 26 Jan 2026 | NOV | -0.04 | – | -0.42 |
| 22 Dec 2025 | SEP | -0.21 | – | -0.31 ® |
为何重要
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
计算方法
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
变化意味着什么
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
高于预期：A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
低于预期：A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
简史
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
问题
What is the United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index?
The United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index combines several economic series for the United States into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index?
0.07 for SEP, published on 26 October 2026.
When is the next United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index?
On Monday 23 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
仅供学习参考，不构成投资建议。数据为我们日历记录的已发布结果；所述市场反应为典型情况，并无保证。