Leading and composite indicators · South Africa
South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM
The South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
- חשיבות
- Low
- פורסם
- Monthly
- הפרסום הבא
- מטבע
- ZAR · South African rand
- בנק מרכזי
- The South African Reserve Bank
הנתונים האחרונים
הפרסום האחרון, עבור AUG, יצא ב-2026-10-27 ועמד על 1.1%. זו עלייה מ--0.8% בפעם הקודמת (מעודכן).
ב-12 הפרסומים האחרונים הערך נע בין -1.8% ל-2.4%, בממוצע 0.1%. הנתון עולה שלושה פרסומים ברציפות.
| פורסם | עבור | בפועל | קונצנזוס | קודם |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | AUG | 1.1% | – | -0.8% ® |
| 22 Sep 2026 | JUL | -0.9% | – | -1% ® |
| 25 Aug 2026 | JUN | -1.4% | – | -0.3% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | APR | -1.8% | – | 1.5% ® |
| 26 May 2026 | MAR | 2.4% | – | 0.6% ® |
| 28 Apr 2026 | FEB | 0.5% | – | 0.6% |
| 24 Mar 2026 | JAN | 0.4% | – | -0.4% ® |
| 24 Feb 2026 | DEC | -1.0% | – | 1.4% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | NOV | 1.4% | – | 0.4% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | OCT | 0.4% | – | -1.2% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | SEP | -1.2% | – | 1.6% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | AUG | 1.6% | – | 0.9% |
למה זה חשוב
No single statistic is reliable; a composite gives an early, smoother signal of turning points in the business cycle.
איך זה מחושב
Components such as new orders, building permits, share prices, credit and jobless claims are standardised and averaged; the index is reported as a level and a change.
מה המשמעות של שינויים
- Several months of decline in a leading index have often preceded recessions, with false alarms.
- Markets usually react little because most components are already known.
גבוה מהצפוי: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the South African rand and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
נמוך מהצפוי: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the South African rand tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
היסטוריה קצרה
Wesley Mitchell and Arthur Burns at the National Bureau of Economic Research developed leading indicators in the 1930s; the Conference Board publishes the best-known US index today.
שאלות
What is the South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
The South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM combines several economic series for South Africa into one index meant to show where the economy is (coincident) or where it is heading (leading).
What was the latest South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
1.1% for AUG, published on 27 October 2026.
When is the next South Africa Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM?
On Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 07:00 UTC.
תוכן לימודי בלבד, לא ייעוץ השקעות. הנתונים הם התוצאות שפורסמו כפי שנרשמו ביומן שלנו; תגובות השוק המתוארות אופייניות, לא מובטחות.