Housing market · United Kingdom
United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance
The United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance tracks the housing market of the United Kingdom: house prices, building permits and starts, home sales, builders' confidence or mortgage demand.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- GBP · pound sterling
- بانک مرکزی
- The Bank of England
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای SEP، در 2026-10-07 منتشر شد و -32% بود. این پایین‌تر از اجماع -30% است. این کمتر از -28% در دفعه قبل است.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین -35% و -10% بود، با میانگین -24%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | SEP | -32% | -30% | -28% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | AUG | -28% | -31% | -29% ® |
| 12 Aug 2026 | JUL | -30% | -31% | -32% ® |
| 8 Jul 2026 | JUN | -33% | -30% | -34% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | MAY | -35% | -31% | -35% ® |
| 13 May 2026 | APR | -34% | -25% | -25% ® |
| 8 Apr 2026 | MAR | -23% | -18% | -14% ® |
| 12 Mar 2026 | FEB | -12% | -9% | -10% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | JAN | -10% | -11% | -13% ® |
| 15 Jan 2026 | DEC | -14% | -16% | -14% ® |
| 11 Dec 2025 | NOV | -16% | -21% | -19% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | OCT | -19% | -14% | -17% ® |
چرا مهم است
Housing is the main channel through which interest rates reach the economy: higher mortgage rates cool sales and building first. Home prices drive household wealth and confidence, and in some countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK) housing figures weigh heavily on central-bank decisions.
روش محاسبه
Prices come from repeat sales of the same homes (Case-Shiller), mortgage-lender data (Nationwide, Halifax) or official registries; permits and starts from local authorities; sales from estate-agent associations; mortgage applications from lenders' weekly surveys.
تغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Permits lead starts, which lead construction activity by months.
- Falling sales with stable prices is the usual first stage of a cooling market.
- Mortgage applications react within weeks to changes in mortgage rates.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the pound sterling and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Karl Case and Robert Shiller built their repeat-sales home price index in the 1980s; the 2006–2009 US housing collapse made housing data central to market analysis.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
The United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance tracks the housing market of the United Kingdom: house prices, building permits and starts, home sales, builders' confidence or mortgage demand.
What was the latest United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
-32% for SEP, published on 7 October 2026 (consensus -30%, previous -28%).
When is the next United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:01 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.