Housing market · United Kingdom
United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance
The United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance tracks the housing market of the United Kingdom: house prices, building permits and starts, home sales, builders' confidence or mortgage demand.
- Importance
- Medium
- Publié
- Monthly
- Prochaine publication
- Devise
- GBP · pound sterling
- Banque centrale
- The Bank of England
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour SEP, est parue le 2026-10-07 et s’est établie à -32%. C’est en dessous du consensus de -30%. C’est moins que -28% la fois précédente.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de -35% à -10%, avec une moyenne de -24%.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | SEP | -32% | -30% | -28% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | AUG | -28% | -31% | -29% ® |
| 12 Aug 2026 | JUL | -30% | -31% | -32% ® |
| 8 Jul 2026 | JUN | -33% | -30% | -34% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | MAY | -35% | -31% | -35% ® |
| 13 May 2026 | APR | -34% | -25% | -25% ® |
| 8 Apr 2026 | MAR | -23% | -18% | -14% ® |
| 12 Mar 2026 | FEB | -12% | -9% | -10% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | JAN | -10% | -11% | -13% ® |
| 15 Jan 2026 | DEC | -14% | -16% | -14% ® |
| 11 Dec 2025 | NOV | -16% | -21% | -19% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | OCT | -19% | -14% | -17% ® |
Pourquoi c’est important
Housing is the main channel through which interest rates reach the economy: higher mortgage rates cool sales and building first. Home prices drive household wealth and confidence, and in some countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK) housing figures weigh heavily on central-bank decisions.
Mode de calcul
Prices come from repeat sales of the same homes (Case-Shiller), mortgage-lender data (Nationwide, Halifax) or official registries; permits and starts from local authorities; sales from estate-agent associations; mortgage applications from lenders' weekly surveys.
Ce que signifient les variations
- Permits lead starts, which lead construction activity by months.
- Falling sales with stable prices is the usual first stage of a cooling market.
- Mortgage applications react within weeks to changes in mortgage rates.
Supérieur aux attentes : A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the pound sterling and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Inférieur aux attentes : A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Un bref historique
Karl Case and Robert Shiller built their repeat-sales home price index in the 1980s; the 2006–2009 US housing collapse made housing data central to market analysis.
Questions
What is the United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
The United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance tracks the housing market of the United Kingdom: house prices, building permits and starts, home sales, builders' confidence or mortgage demand.
What was the latest United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
-32% for SEP, published on 7 October 2026 (consensus -30%, previous -28%).
When is the next United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:01 UTC.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.