Housing market · United Kingdom
United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance
The United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance tracks the housing market of the United Kingdom: house prices, building permits and starts, home sales, builders' confidence or mortgage demand.
- الأهمية
- Medium
- صدر
- Monthly
- الإصدار التالي
- العملة
- GBP · pound sterling
- البنك المركزي
- The Bank of England
أحدث الأرقام
صدر آخر إصدار، عن SEP، في 2026-10-07 وجاء عند -32%. هذا أدنى من الإجماع البالغ -30%. هذا أقل من -28% في المرة السابقة.
A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
خلال آخر 12 إصدارات تراوح بين -35% و-10%، بمتوسط -24%.
| صدر | المدة | الفعلي | التوقعات | السابق |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | SEP | -32% | -30% | -28% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | AUG | -28% | -31% | -29% ® |
| 12 Aug 2026 | JUL | -30% | -31% | -32% ® |
| 8 Jul 2026 | JUN | -33% | -30% | -34% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | MAY | -35% | -31% | -35% ® |
| 13 May 2026 | APR | -34% | -25% | -25% ® |
| 8 Apr 2026 | MAR | -23% | -18% | -14% ® |
| 12 Mar 2026 | FEB | -12% | -9% | -10% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | JAN | -10% | -11% | -13% ® |
| 15 Jan 2026 | DEC | -14% | -16% | -14% ® |
| 11 Dec 2025 | NOV | -16% | -21% | -19% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | OCT | -19% | -14% | -17% ® |
لماذا يهم
Housing is the main channel through which interest rates reach the economy: higher mortgage rates cool sales and building first. Home prices drive household wealth and confidence, and in some countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK) housing figures weigh heavily on central-bank decisions.
طريقة الحساب
Prices come from repeat sales of the same homes (Case-Shiller), mortgage-lender data (Nationwide, Halifax) or official registries; permits and starts from local authorities; sales from estate-agent associations; mortgage applications from lenders' weekly surveys.
ما تعنيه التغيرات
- Permits lead starts, which lead construction activity by months.
- Falling sales with stable prices is the usual first stage of a cooling market.
- Mortgage applications react within weeks to changes in mortgage rates.
أعلى من المتوقع: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the pound sterling and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
أقل من المتوقع: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the pound sterling tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
لمحة تاريخية قصيرة
Karl Case and Robert Shiller built their repeat-sales home price index in the 1980s; the 2006–2009 US housing collapse made housing data central to market analysis.
الأسئلة
What is the United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
The United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance tracks the housing market of the United Kingdom: house prices, building permits and starts, home sales, builders' confidence or mortgage demand.
What was the latest United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
-32% for SEP, published on 7 October 2026 (consensus -30%, previous -28%).
When is the next United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance?
On Thursday 12 November 2026 at 00:01 UTC.
محتوى تعليمي فقط، وليس نصيحة استثمارية. الأرقام هي النتائج المنشورة كما سجّلتها مفكرتنا؛ وردود فعل السوق الموصوفة نموذجية وليست مضمونة.