Wages and labour costs · Euro Area
Euro Area Labour Cost Index YoY Flash
The Euro Area Labour Cost Index YoY Flash measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the Euro Area.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- EUR · euro
- بانک مرکزی
- The European Central Bank
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q2، در 2026-08-20 منتشر شد و 3% بود. این کمتر از 3.2% در دفعه قبل است.
در 5 انتشار اخیر بین 3% و 3.7% بود، با میانگین 3.3%. سه انتشار پیاپی کاهش داشته است.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | Q2 | 3% | – | 3.2% |
| 21 May 2026 | Q1 | 3.3% | – | 3.3% |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Q3 | 3.5% | – | 3.6% |
| 20 Aug 2025 | Q2 | 3.7% | – | 3.4% |
| 20 May 2025 | Q1 | 3.2% | – | 3.7% |
چرا مهم است
Wages are the largest cost for service businesses, so wage growth well above productivity growth turns into lasting inflation. Central banks watch it to judge whether inflation will return to target; strong wage growth tends to keep the European Central Bank hawkish.
روش محاسبه
Pay data come from employer surveys, tax records or collective agreements; the release usually shows the change from a year earlier. Labour cost indexes include employers' social contributions and benefits.
Wage growth (yoy) = average pay ÷ average pay a year ago − 1
Real wage growth ≈ wage growth − inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Wage growth of about 3–3.5% is roughly consistent with 2% inflation when productivity grows about 1%.
- Compositional effects (low-paid workers losing jobs) can lift the average misleadingly.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the European Central Bank more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the euro and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the European Central Bank room to cut or hold rates lower: the euro tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The link between wages and inflation was described by A. W. Phillips in 1958 (the Phillips curve); it has weakened and strengthened over the decades but remains central to central-bank thinking.
پرسش‌ها
What is the Euro Area Labour Cost Index YoY Flash?
The Euro Area Labour Cost Index YoY Flash measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the Euro Area.
What was the latest Euro Area Labour Cost Index YoY Flash?
3% for Q2, published on 20 August 2026.
When is the next Euro Area Labour Cost Index YoY Flash?
On Thursday 19 November 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
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