Wages and labour costs · United States
United States Employment Cost Index QoQ
The United States Employment Cost Index QoQ measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the United States.
- اهمیت
- Medium
- منتشرشده
- Quarterly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای Q3، در 2026-10-30 منتشر شد و 0.8% بود. این مطابق اجماع 0.8% است. این کمتر از 0.9% در دفعه قبل است.
نتیجه‌ای مطابق پیش‌بینی معمولاً واکنش کمی ایجاد می‌کند: قبلاً در قیمت لحاظ شده بود.
در 8 انتشار اخیر بین 0.7% و 0.9% بود، با میانگین 0.8%.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Q2 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Q1 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Q3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Q2 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Q1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Q4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
چرا مهم است
Wages are the largest cost for service businesses, so wage growth well above productivity growth turns into lasting inflation. Central banks watch it to judge whether inflation will return to target; strong wage growth tends to keep the Federal Reserve hawkish.
روش محاسبه
Pay data come from employer surveys, tax records or collective agreements; the release usually shows the change from a year earlier. Labour cost indexes include employers' social contributions and benefits.
Wage growth (yoy) = average pay ÷ average pay a year ago − 1
Real wage growth ≈ wage growth − inflationتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- Wage growth of about 3–3.5% is roughly consistent with 2% inflation when productivity grows about 1%.
- Compositional effects (low-paid workers losing jobs) can lift the average misleadingly.
بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
The link between wages and inflation was described by A. W. Phillips in 1958 (the Phillips curve); it has weakened and strengthened over the decades but remains central to central-bank thinking.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States Employment Cost Index QoQ?
The United States Employment Cost Index QoQ measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the United States.
What was the latest United States Employment Cost Index QoQ?
0.8% for Q3, published on 30 October 2026 (consensus 0.8%, previous 0.9%).
When is the next United States Employment Cost Index QoQ?
On Friday 29 January 2027 at 13:30 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.