Wages and labour costs · United States
United States Employment Cost Index QoQ
The United States Employment Cost Index QoQ measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the United States.
- Importancia
- Medium
- Publicado
- Quarterly
- Próxima publicación
- Divisa
- USD · US dollar
- Banco central
- The Federal Reserve
Últimas cifras
El último dato, de Q3, se publicó el 2026-10-30 y fue 0.8%. Está en línea con el consenso de 0.8%. Es menos que 0.9% la vez anterior.
Un resultado en línea con el consenso suele provocar poca reacción: ya estaba descontado.
En las últimas 8 publicaciones osciló entre 0.7% y 0.9%, con una media de 0.8%.
| Publicado | Para | Real | Consenso | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Q3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Q2 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Q1 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Q4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Q3 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Q2 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Q1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | Q4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Por qué importa
Wages are the largest cost for service businesses, so wage growth well above productivity growth turns into lasting inflation. Central banks watch it to judge whether inflation will return to target; strong wage growth tends to keep the Federal Reserve hawkish.
Cómo se calcula
Pay data come from employer surveys, tax records or collective agreements; the release usually shows the change from a year earlier. Labour cost indexes include employers' social contributions and benefits.
Wage growth (yoy) = average pay ÷ average pay a year ago − 1
Real wage growth ≈ wage growth − inflationQué significan los cambios
- Wage growth of about 3–3.5% is roughly consistent with 2% inflation when productivity grows about 1%.
- Compositional effects (low-paid workers losing jobs) can lift the average misleadingly.
Mayor de lo esperado: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.
Menor de lo esperado: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.
Una breve historia
The link between wages and inflation was described by A. W. Phillips in 1958 (the Phillips curve); it has weakened and strengthened over the decades but remains central to central-bank thinking.
Preguntas
What is the United States Employment Cost Index QoQ?
The United States Employment Cost Index QoQ measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the United States.
What was the latest United States Employment Cost Index QoQ?
0.8% for Q3, published on 30 October 2026 (consensus 0.8%, previous 0.9%).
When is the next United States Employment Cost Index QoQ?
On Friday 29 January 2027 at 13:30 UTC.
Solo contenido educativo, no asesoramiento de inversión. Las cifras son los resultados publicados según los registra nuestro calendario; las reacciones del mercado descritas son típicas, no garantizadas.