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Wages and labour costs · United States

United States Average Hourly Earnings MoM

The United States Average Hourly Earnings MoM measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the United States.

اهمیت
High
منتشرشده
Monthly
انتشار بعدی
ارز
USD · US dollar
بانک مرکزی
The Federal Reserve
اثر بر
AUDUSD · EURUSD · GAUUSD · GBPUSD · NZDUSD · USDCAD · USDCHF · USDCNH

آخرین ارقام

آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-11-06 منتشر شد و 0.4% بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 0.3% است. این بیشتر از 0.3% در دفعه قبل است (بازنگری‌شده).

A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 0.1% و 0.4% بود، با میانگین 0.3%.

Dec 2025: 0.4%Jan 2026: 0.3%Feb 2026: 0.4%Mar 2026: 0.4%Apr 2026: 0.2%May 2026: 0.2%Jun 2026: 0.3%Jul 2026: 0.3%Aug 2026: 0.1%Sep 2026: 0.3%Oct 2026: 0.1%Nov 2026: 0.4% Dec 2025Nov 2026
نتایج واقعی؛ خط کوتاه روی هر ستون، اجماع را نشان می‌دهد.
منتشرشدهبرایواقعیپیش‌بینیقبلی
6 Nov 2026OCT0.4%0.3%0.3% ®
2 Oct 2026SEP0.1%0.3%0.3%
4 Sep 2026AUG0.3%0.3%0.2% ®
7 Aug 2026JUL0.1%0.3%0.3%
2 Jul 2026JUN0.3%0.3%0.3%
5 Jun 2026MAY0.3%0.3%0.2%
8 May 2026APR0.2%0.3%0.2%
3 Apr 2026MAR0.2%0.3%0.4%
6 Mar 2026FEB0.4%0.3%0.4%
11 Feb 2026JAN0.4%0.3%0.1% ®
9 Jan 2026DEC0.3%0.3%0.2% ®
16 Dec 2025OCT0.4%–0.2%

در تقویم اقتصادی ببینید ←

چرا مهم است

Wages are the largest cost for service businesses, so wage growth well above productivity growth turns into lasting inflation. Central banks watch it to judge whether inflation will return to target; strong wage growth tends to keep the Federal Reserve hawkish.

روش محاسبه

Pay data come from employer surveys, tax records or collective agreements; the release usually shows the change from a year earlier. Labour cost indexes include employers' social contributions and benefits.

Wage growth (yoy) = average pay ÷ average pay a year ago − 1
Real wage growth ≈ wage growth − inflation

تغییرات چه معنایی دارند

  • Wage growth of about 3–3.5% is roughly consistent with 2% inflation when productivity grows about 1%.
  • Compositional effects (low-paid workers losing jobs) can lift the average misleadingly.

بالاتر از انتظار: A higher figure than expected makes the Federal Reserve more likely to keep rates high or raise them: it tends to support the US dollar and push bond yields up, and is often a weight on stocks.

پایین‌تر از انتظار: A lower figure than expected gives the Federal Reserve room to cut or hold rates lower: the US dollar tends to soften and bond yields to fall.

تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه

The link between wages and inflation was described by A. W. Phillips in 1958 (the Phillips curve); it has weakened and strengthened over the decades but remains central to central-bank thinking.

پرسش‌ها

What is the United States Average Hourly Earnings MoM?

The United States Average Hourly Earnings MoM measures how fast pay, or the total cost of employing people, is rising in the United States.

What was the latest United States Average Hourly Earnings MoM?

0.4% for OCT, published on 6 November 2026 (consensus 0.3%, previous 0.3%).

When is the next United States Average Hourly Earnings MoM?

On Friday 4 December 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

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