Retail sales · United States

United States Retail Sales YoY

The United States Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in the United States.

Importance
High
Released
Monthly
Next release
Currency
USD · US dollar
Central bank
The Federal Reserve
Moves
AUDUSD · EURUSD · GAUUSD# · GBPUSD · NZDUSD · USDCAD · USDCHF · USDCNH

Latest figures

The latest release for SEP, published on 15 October 2026, came in at 6.3%, up from 5.6% the time before (revised).

Over the last 12 releases it ranged from 2.4% to 6.9%, averaging 4.7%; it has been rising for three releases in a row.

Dec 2025: 3.5%Jan 2026: 3.3%Feb 2026: 2.4%Mar 2026: 3.2%Apr 2026: 3.7%Apr 2026: 4.0%May 2026: 4.9%Jun 2026: 6.9%Jul 2026: 6.7%Aug 2026: 5%Sep 2026: 6%Oct 2026: 6.3% Dec 2025Oct 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
15 Oct 2026SEP6.3%–5.6% ®
16 Sep 2026AUG6%–5.03%
14 Aug 2026JUL5%–6.8% ®
16 Jul 2026JUN6.7%–7.3% ®
17 Jun 2026MAY6.9%–4.8% ®
14 May 2026APR4.9%–4.2% ®
21 Apr 2026MAR4.0%–4.0% ®
1 Apr 2026FEB3.7%–3.2%
6 Mar 2026JAN3.2%–2.4%
10 Feb 2026DEC2.4%–3.3%
14 Jan 2026NOV3.3%–3.3% ®
16 Dec 2025OCT3.5%–4.2% ®

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the US dollar; weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.

How it is calculated

the Bureau of Labor Statistics (prices and jobs), the Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP, income and spending) and the Census Bureau (retail sales, housing, trade) surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.

Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1

What changes mean

  • Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
  • Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
  • Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.

Questions

What is the United States Retail Sales YoY?

The United States Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in the United States.

What was the latest United States Retail Sales YoY?

6.3% for SEP, published on 15 October 2026.

When is the next United States Retail Sales YoY?

On Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.