Retail sales · China

China Retail Sales YoY

The China Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in China.

Importance
High
Released
Monthly
Next release
Currency
CNH · Chinese yuan (renminbi)
Central bank
The People's Bank of China

Latest figures

The latest release for SEP, published on 19 October 2026, came in at 1.1%, above the consensus of 0.5%, up from 0.4% the time before.

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Over the last 12 releases it ranged from -0.6% to 3.0%, averaging 1.3%.

Oct 2025: 3%Nov 2025: 2.9%Dec 2025: 1.3%Jan 2026: 0.9%Mar 2026: 2.8%Apr 2026: 1.7%May 2026: 0.2%Jun 2026: -0.6%Jul 2026: 1%Aug 2026: 0.6%Sep 2026: 0.4%Oct 2026: 1.1% Oct 2025Oct 2026
Actual results; the short line on a bar marks the consensus.
ReleasedForActualConsensusPrevious
19 Oct 2026SEP1.1%0.5%0.4%
15 Sep 2026AUG0.4%0.8%0.6%
17 Aug 2026JUL0.6%1.5%1%
15 Jul 2026JUN1%-0.1%-0.6%
16 Jun 2026MAY-0.6%0%0.2%
18 May 2026APR0.2%2%1.7%
16 Apr 2026MAR1.7%2.3%2.8%
16 Mar 2026JAN-FEB2.8%2.5%0.9%
19 Jan 2026DEC0.9%1.2%1.3%
15 Dec 2025NOV1.3%2.9%2.9%
14 Nov 2025OCT2.9%2.7%3%
20 Oct 2025SEP3%2.9%3.4%

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

Retail sales are the most timely measure of household spending, the largest part of the economy. Strong sales support growth and the Chinese yuan (renminbi); weak sales raise recession worries. In the US the "control group" (without autos, petrol, building materials and food services) feeds directly into GDP.

How it is calculated

the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) surveys retailers on their monthly sales; value figures include price changes, volume figures remove them. Seasonal adjustment removes holiday patterns.

Change (mom) = sales this month ÷ sales last month − 1

What changes mean

  • Compare value and volume: rising value with falling volume is inflation, not stronger demand.
  • Ex-autos and ex-fuel versions remove the most volatile parts.
  • Revisions to the previous month can change the picture.

Higher than expected: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Chinese yuan (renminbi) and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Lower than expected: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Chinese yuan (renminbi) tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

A short history

The US Census Bureau has published monthly retail sales since the 1950s; most countries followed in the post-war decades.

Questions

What is the China Retail Sales YoY?

The China Retail Sales YoY measures the value or volume of goods sold by shops and online retailers in China.

What was the latest China Retail Sales YoY?

1.1% for SEP, published on 19 October 2026 (consensus 0.5%, previous 0.4%).

When is the next China Retail Sales YoY?

On Monday 16 November 2026 at 02:00 UTC.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.