Central bank surveys · Euro Area

Euro Area ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

The Euro Area ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters is a survey run by the European Central Bank: of banks (on lending standards), of businesses, of households (on inflation expectations) or of professional forecasters.

Importance
Medium
Currency
EUR · euro
Central bank
The European Central Bank

Latest figures

No results of this release are shown yet. They appear here as soon as they are published.

See it in the economic calendar →

Why it matters

These surveys feed the central bank's decisions: tighter lending standards slow the economy, and rising inflation expectations make policymakers more hawkish. Traders read them as previews of the central bank's thinking.

How it is calculated

Respondents answer a fixed questionnaire; results are summarised as balances (share reporting tighter minus looser, for example) or medians.

What changes mean

  • Tightening lending standards have historically preceded slower credit and growth.
  • Forecasters' expectations show what the market already assumes.

A short history

Central banks started regular surveys to see beyond official statistics; the Fed's Senior Loan Officer Survey dates from the 1960s, the ECB's Bank Lending Survey from 2003.

Questions

What is the Euro Area ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters?

The Euro Area ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters is a survey run by the European Central Bank: of banks (on lending standards), of businesses, of households (on inflation expectations) or of professional forecasters.

Educational content only, not investment advice. Figures are the published results as recorded by our calendar; market reactions described are typical, not guaranteed.