Business confidence · Hong Kong
Hong Kong Business Confidence
The Hong Kong Business Confidence asks companies in Hong Kong how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- 重要性
- Medium
- 发布时间
- Quarterly
- 货币
- HKD · Hong Kong dollar
- 中央银行
- The Hong Kong Monetary Authority
最新数据
最新一期（Q4）于 2026-10-16 公布，数值为 5。 高于上次的 -4。
最近 8 次公布中介于 -10 至 5，平均 -4.5。 已连续三次公布上升。
| 发布时间 | 期限 | 实际值 | 预期值 | 前值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Q4 | 5 | – | -4 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Q3 | -4 | – | -5 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Q2 | -5 | – | -3 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Q1 | -3 | – | -2 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Q4 | -2 | – | -8 |
| 18 Jul 2025 | Q3 | -8 | – | -9 |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Q2 | -9 | – | -10 |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Q1 | -10 | – | -3 |
为何重要
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
计算方法
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
变化意味着什么
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
高于预期：A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
低于预期：A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Hong Kong dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
简史
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, so the base rate follows the Fed.
问题
What is the Hong Kong Business Confidence?
The Hong Kong Business Confidence asks companies in Hong Kong how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Hong Kong Business Confidence?
5 for Q4, published on 16 October 2026.
仅供学习参考，不构成投资建议。数据为我们日历记录的已发布结果；所述市场反应为典型情况，并无保证。