Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers Index

最新数据

最新一期（Q3）于 2026-09-30 公布，数值为 24。 低于 25 的市场预期。 高于上次的 22。

A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Japanese yen tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.

最近 7 次公布中介于 12 至 24，平均 17。 已连续三次公布上升。

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为何重要

Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.

计算方法

Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.

变化意味着什么

• The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
• A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.

简史

Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.

问题