Business confidence · Hong Kong
Hong Kong Business Confidence
The Hong Kong Business Confidence asks companies in Hong Kong how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
- Importance
- Medium
- Publié
- Quarterly
- Devise
- HKD · Hong Kong dollar
- Banque centrale
- The Hong Kong Monetary Authority
Derniers chiffres
La dernière publication, pour Q4, est parue le 2026-10-16 et s’est établie à 5. C’est plus que -4 la fois précédente.
Sur les 8 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de -10 à 5, avec une moyenne de -4.5. Elle a augmenté trois publications d’affilée.
| Publié | Pour | Réel | Consensus | Précédent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Q4 | 5 | – | -4 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Q3 | -4 | – | -5 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Q2 | -5 | – | -3 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Q1 | -3 | – | -2 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Q4 | -2 | – | -8 |
| 18 Jul 2025 | Q3 | -8 | – | -9 |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Q2 | -9 | – | -10 |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Q1 | -10 | – | -3 |
Pourquoi c’est important
Confidence leads hiring and investment decisions, so these surveys often turn before the hard data. Germany's Ifo and ZEW, and Japan's Tankan, are among the most market-moving releases for the euro and the yen.
Mode de calcul
Survey answers (better/same/worse) are turned into a balance (positive minus negative answers) or an index around a long-run average of 100; the release separates current conditions from expectations.
Ce que signifient les variations
- The expectations component turns first; watch its direction over several months.
- A gap between strong current conditions and weak expectations often marks a peak.
Supérieur aux attentes : A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the Hong Kong dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
Inférieur aux attentes : A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the Hong Kong dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
Un bref historique
Business tendency surveys began in Germany (Ifo) and other European countries after the Second World War; the Bank of Japan's Tankan has been run for decades, and the ZEW financial-expert survey since 1991.
The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, so the base rate follows the Fed.
Questions
What is the Hong Kong Business Confidence?
The Hong Kong Business Confidence asks companies in Hong Kong how they judge current business conditions and what they expect for the coming months.
What was the latest Hong Kong Business Confidence?
5 for Q4, published on 16 October 2026.
Contenu éducatif uniquement, pas un conseil en investissement. Les chiffres sont les résultats publiés tels qu’enregistrés par notre calendrier ; les réactions de marché décrites sont typiques, non garanties.