ISM business survey · United States
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI
The United States ISM Manufacturing PMI is part of the Institute for Supply Management's monthly survey of purchasing managers in the United States: overall activity, or one component such as new orders, employment or prices paid.
- اهمیت
- High
- منتشرشده
- Monthly
- انتشار بعدی
- ارز
- USD · US dollar
- بانک مرکزی
- The Federal Reserve
آخرین ارقام
آخرین انتشار، برای OCT، در 2026-11-02 منتشر شد و 55.5 بود. این بالاتر از اجماع 54.6 است. این بیشتر از 54.5 در دفعه قبل است.
A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
در 12 انتشار اخیر بین 47.9 و 55.6 بود، با میانگین 52.8.
| منتشرشده | برای | واقعی | پیش‌بینی | قبلی |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | OCT | 55.5 | 54.6 | 54.5 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | SEP | 54.5 | 55 | 54.6 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | AUG | 54.6 | 55.2 | 55.6 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | JUL | 55.6 | 54 | 53.3 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | JUN | 53.3 | 54 | 54.0 |
| 1 Jun 2026 | MAY | 54.0 | 53 | 52.7 |
| 1 May 2026 | APR | 52.7 | 53 | 52.7 |
| 1 Apr 2026 | MAR | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.4 |
| 2 Mar 2026 | FEB | 52.4 | 51.8 | 52.6 |
| 2 Feb 2026 | JAN | 52.6 | 48.5 | 47.9 |
| 5 Jan 2026 | DEC | 47.9 | 48.3 | 48.2 |
| 1 Dec 2025 | NOV | 48.2 | 48.6 | 48.7 |
چرا مهم است
ISM is the oldest and most watched US business survey. Its headline indexes are released on the first business days of the month and give the first read of the month's economy; the prices component is watched as an early inflation signal and the new-orders component as a guide to the months ahead.
روش محاسبه
Purchasing managers answer whether activity is higher, the same or lower than the previous month. The index is the share answering higher plus half the share answering the same.
Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Above 50 = expanding, below 50 = contractingتغییرات چه معنایی دارند
- The distance from 50 matters more than the change: 48 is mild contraction, 45 is serious.
- Prices paid above 60 has usually meant rising goods inflation.
- The services index covers most of the economy and often matters more than manufacturing.
بالاتر از انتظار: A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.
پایین‌تر از انتظار: A weaker figure than expected points to slowing activity: the US dollar tends to soften and markets price in lower rates.
تاریخچه‌ای کوتاه
Purchasing managers' surveys in the US date back to the 1930s; the national survey that became the ISM Report on Business has been published monthly since 1948.
پرسش‌ها
What is the United States ISM Manufacturing PMI?
The United States ISM Manufacturing PMI is part of the Institute for Supply Management's monthly survey of purchasing managers in the United States: overall activity, or one component such as new orders, employment or prices paid.
What was the latest United States ISM Manufacturing PMI?
55.5 for OCT, published on 2 November 2026 (consensus 54.6, previous 54.5).
When is the next United States ISM Manufacturing PMI?
On Tuesday 1 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
فقط محتوای آموزشی است، نه توصیه سرمایه‌گذاری. ارقام نتایج منتشرشده‌اند که تقویم ما ثبت کرده است؛ واکنش‌های بازار که توصیف شده‌اند معمول‌اند، نه تضمینی.