United States ISM Manufacturing PMI

Derniers chiffres

La dernière publication, pour OCT, est parue le 2026-11-02 et s’est établie à 55.5. C’est au-dessus du consensus de 54.6. C’est plus que 54.5 la fois précédente.

A stronger figure than expected points to a healthier economy: it usually supports the US dollar and local stocks, and can push bond yields up.

Sur les 12 dernières publications, la valeur est allée de 47.9 à 55.6, avec une moyenne de 52.8.

Voir dans le calendrier économique →

Pourquoi c’est important

ISM is the oldest and most watched US business survey. Its headline indexes are released on the first business days of the month and give the first read of the month's economy; the prices component is watched as an early inflation signal and the new-orders component as a guide to the months ahead.

Mode de calcul

Purchasing managers answer whether activity is higher, the same or lower than the previous month. The index is the share answering higher plus half the share answering the same.

Diffusion index = % higher + ½ × % same
Above 50 = expanding, below 50 = contracting

Ce que signifient les variations

• The distance from 50 matters more than the change: 48 is mild contraction, 45 is serious.
• Prices paid above 60 has usually meant rising goods inflation.
• The services index covers most of the economy and often matters more than manufacturing.

Un bref historique

Purchasing managers' surveys in the US date back to the 1930s; the national survey that became the ISM Report on Business has been published monthly since 1948.

Questions